Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.106133 0.125805 0.147822 0.174249 0.205066 0.239826 0.281962
2025-02-02 0.076343 0.101831 0.133575 0.175834 0.230420 0.298334 0.388997
2025-02-09 0.058664 0.085940 0.122895 0.176228 0.250763 0.350682 0.494127
2025-02-16 0.047713 0.075613 0.116162 0.178718 0.271955 0.404739 0.606833
2025-02-23 0.040996 0.069556 0.113654 0.185685 0.299082 0.469026 0.740654
2025-03-02 0.033323 0.060281 0.104331 0.180200 0.305823 0.503090 0.832762
2025-03-09 0.028418 0.054495 0.099346 0.180372 0.320722 0.550456 0.949815
2025-03-16 0.024063 0.048775 0.093391 0.177695 0.330017 0.589160 1.056388
2025-03-23 0.021491 0.045822 0.091733 0.182080 0.351633 0.650232 1.206393
2025-03-30 0.018612 0.041716 0.087238 0.180450 0.361952 0.692464 1.327665
2025-04-06 0.015928 0.037488 0.081805 0.176113 0.366417 0.724278 1.433019
2025-04-13 0.013548 0.033453 0.076092 0.170298 0.367066 0.748731 1.526730
2025-04-20 0.012279 0.031720 0.075004 0.174036 0.387616 0.813921 1.706307
2025-04-27 0.011051 0.029855 0.073355 0.176367 0.405616 0.876177 1.887023
2025-05-04 0.009863 0.027853 0.071068 0.176925 0.419848 0.932246 2.060957
2025-05-11 0.008951 0.026371 0.069747 0.179459 0.438638 0.999523 2.264503
2025-05-18 0.008390 0.025711 0.070299 0.186461 0.468288 1.092674 2.531509
2025-05-25 0.007263 0.023255 0.065970 0.180957 0.468243 1.121350 2.662262
2025-06-01 0.006543 0.021818 0.064030 0.181130 0.481661 1.181126 2.867160
2025-06-08 0.005794 0.020134 0.061152 0.178442 0.487702 1.224637 3.039441
2025-06-15 0.005397 0.019464 0.060956 0.182844 0.512011 1.312876 3.322697
2025-06-22 0.004835 0.018135 0.058673 0.181207 0.520581 1.364555 3.524937
2025-06-29 0.004255 0.016621 0.055589 0.176854 0.521433 1.397552 3.685520